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SpaceX IPO MARS Fantasy
Duration: 0:26
Views: 17
Submitted: 6 days ago
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Description:
For once I will be serious and get right to my prediction for SpaceX CA$H FURNACE SPACE WANNABE OPERATION… But first, my disclaimer because I am not a licensed investment advisor but only absolute genius of mathematical science and physics so read my disclaimer first which I post due to the fact that ONE of my upcoming Platforms will be subject to SEC oversight… So I tip-toe, ahem — cause it’s not a good thing to give ‘em a hardon for one of my upcoming ventures, plenty of time for that — lol!
Disclaimer: My post pertains to actual forecasting future SpaceX stock performance, which falls under the category of securities investment advisory. My analysis of SpaceX stock trajectory is for reference only. It does not constitute any form of investment advice… But, if you heed my advice, OAY ME BITCH! Just kidding SEC officer, officially this post is for entertainment only — AHEM! Lemme begin…
What I believe based on my mathematical analysis is that the hype surrounding the listing of SpaceX won't be enough to mask the serious fundamental issues, and will lead to a sharp drop within the next 6 months. Here is my analytical data which supports my forecast:
SoaceX IPO Debut & Valuation Reality;
Record Scale: SpaceX's IPO price was $135/share, with a valuation of $1.77T (raised ~$75B). The stock opened at $150 on June 12, 2026….
·
Extreme Valuation: The market cap of ~$2.1T represents a trailing P/S ratio of about 95x. WHOA! Are you freakin’ kidding me? Is everyone on Wall Street doing Ketamine with Elon together? What? Get the hell outtuh here BITCH!
·Analyst Divergence : Screw what I think, right? How bout what others? Morningstar's fair value per share is $63, a 53% discount to the IPO price, while Goldman Sachs focuses on AI growth dreams…
SpaceX Financial Performance & Cash Burn (The "S-1 Horror Show" — My Own TAKE of a Baked Cake…)
WHOA, Massive Losses: The company posted a net loss of $4.94B in 2025, and losses worsened to $4.28B in Q1 2026 (only $4.69B in revenue). Unholly shit here folks, from accounting standpoint this thing is a money furnace!
The Cash Incinerator (xAI/AI): Capital expenditures hit $10.1B in Q1 2026 alone, with $7.7B for AI. xAI generated $63.55B in operating losses in 2025…
Negative Cash Flow: SpaceX's Free Cash Flow (FCF) is deeply negative: -$14B in 2025, after being +$105M in 2023. No way Jose — I say!
SoaceX 5-Year Satellite Obsolescence & Refresh Costs;
Mandatory Refresh: Low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellites have a fundamental 5-year lifespan, forcing SpaceX into a perpetual hardware refresh cycle…
Mass Replacement: Assuming 10,500 operational satellites and a 5-year cycle, annual replacement costs are estimated at $3.78 billion per year (420 launches at $20M/launch).
The "Starship" Wildcard (Space Casino in Texas!): Their new 2-ton V3 satellites absolutely require Starship to launch. However, independent sources indicate each Starship test launch currently costs closer to $100 million, not $1 million. Somebody full of $HIT!
The Downward Pressure: Lock-Up Expirations;
SpaceX has a multi-tiered lock-up expiration schedule:
15% unlocked after Q2 2026 results (likely August 2026).
>>>LOOK HERE DUMBASS; 49% unlocked between specific trading milestones (e.g., 30% above IPO price) and calendar marks through November 2026.
These structured expirations will systematically inject massive supply into the market as early investors take profits, applying downward pressure. DOWNWARD, NOT UPWARD!!!!
Why Stock Will Be Cut in Half (6-Month Price Target);
My Timeline: By December 12, 2026 (six months post-IPO).
Price Target: bout $80.48 per share.
My Key Catalysts: Q2 earnings shock from the disclosed AI losses + lock-up expiration waves.
My TAKE on Downside Potential: 50% decline based on current $161 closing price…
No shit Sherlock, all the $PIN Bankers did to investor excite thrill made SpaceX IPO brake records but this is a BROKEN $OACE COMPANY and the fundamentals indicate a clear downward trajectory… The combination of an x95 sales valuation, an annual cash burn rate exceeding $20 billion, the mandatory 5-year refresh costs for Starlink, and the upcoming lock-up expirations suggests that the current market cap is unsustainable… You got that? UNSUSTAINABLE I said! That stated, SpaceX stock WILL drop by approximately 50% over the next six months to align more closely with fundamentals and DCF valuations…
And no banker can hype it from not happening!
Hey, this is my analysis and no I don’t give a rats ass bout ya’z cause you suck ass at math — and physics probably…
And this will be the LAST POST in regards to Elon or any of his Ventures, cause I got shit to do actually, so good luck to ya’ll regardless on what side you’z on…
What, I hate Elon Musk?!
Only “Nazi Salutes!”
Don’t confuse me with one of his low IQ’d ex-girlfriends EVER AGAIN DUMBASS
That matter RYSTAL-CLEARED… The World gave it all to fight Hitler during WWII, my brave family Members included. We don’t want to allow the evil of Fascism to be resurrected so a high-profile individual who has Worlds undivided attention should know better…
American federal Government Gestapo Agents already favor CHEMICAL WEAPONS to torture UNARMED CIVILIANS WITH, don’t give these FEDERAL STALKER IDIOTS any ideas…
By direct comparison, over 20,000 POLICE Agencies throughout USA with absolutely NO any kind of “UNIFORM TRAINING” and yet, you can count on YOUR FINGERS — of which you should have TEN — those that excessively make use of WEAPONIZED CHEMICALS on peaceful subjects…
At some point, regardless of your wealth or lack thereof — cause it has nothing to do with exhibition of IMMATURE ADULTHOOD, “YOU GOT TO GIT’CHUH HEAD OUTTUH YOUR ASS AND ASK YOURSELF, WHY AM I DOING STUPID SHIT ALL THE TIME?”
Answer?
Cause “YOU’RE A FREAQIN IDIOT!”
As far as Elon Musk company aforementioned in this nano-post of mine; if I TRULLY HATED HIM, I wouldn’t be PUBLICLY REVEALING exact TRAJECTORY of his STOCK, would I?
Cause this gives his team SIX MONTHS to PIVOT and RIGHT their Company by setting it onto trajectory of PROFITABILITY…
How?
“Never put all your “Space Eggs” into one basket…”
“Diversify dummy, DIVERSIFY!”
And the absolute LA$T thing I will comment on is acquisition of wealth, and whether YOU should laser focus on it?
Well, when you DIE you won’t get to take any of it with you cause where you are going you ain’t gonnuh need any so MATHEMATICALLY it is ABSOLUTELY POINTLESS TO $TRIVE to be RICH!
And now since you know that you have FINITE LIFE “TIME,” the KEY to BEING HAPPY is to be CONTENT with what you have! But if you do get rich, don’t set your HEART on it cause wealth can fly away like a Birdie… Way back in ANCIENT TIMES Egyptian Pharaohs ADAMANTLY INSISTED they be BURRIED with their treasures so THIEVES (First instance of Organized Crime by the way — I think…), had the upper hand cause they jus crawled to where the STIFF was buried and all became instant Millionaires at the time which was like IPO today on Wall Street where pigs always get $LAUGHTERED for being gullible $UCKERS, but yeah; that is why you don’t see any U-Haul trucks behind the Hearse when rich folk checkout cause thieves would be diggin second it was six feet unduh! Thieves EVOLVED as well from their Ancient beginnings and since nobody gets buried along with their treasures, they line up like Turkeys on Wall Street to clean you out before, during, and after your death cause all your accumulated wealth — stays behind…
How does the State of California tie into Wall Street “mathematically” and what parallels PARASITIC Wall Street Investment Banking Structure?
Mathematically, the State of California is a “Hybrid Feudal System” and that is why the POOR are DOOMED (Upon Birth…) to be WORKING for the RICH.. As a matter of fact, if YOU look at the racial map of its City of Los Angeles, even if you are the dumbest fuck ever born — will notice that LA has been racially segregated for the most part. Latinos in one area, wealthy in Beverly Hills, other poor blacks and Latinos in South Central, and if you drive through each of those neighborhoods you will notice huge drive and push of residents there into SERVICE CAREERS so plumbers, electricians, cosmetologists, and all others because the System is also engineered to be parasitic by wealthy bloodsucking parasites — on the top who need masses to serve them.. Say hello to your hybrid feudal Lords for whom the goal is to exploit you from your birth to your natural death and congrats on your new job sucker cause now you’ll be in the highest tax bracket!
Hey, ever thought of starting your own business?
IRS REWARD$ You for A$$UMPTION OF RI$K… Thousand mile journey starts with the first step…
Don’t allow Federal G-thugs to “rob you” of EVERYTHING!
https://www.myvideotime.com/video/1180/is-trump-a-thug/
Meanwhile; you follow my advice, you will be happy and that my amigo is “ABSOLUTELY PRICELESS!”
#NumbersNeverLie
Stateless Warrior
Disclaimer: My post pertains to actual forecasting future SpaceX stock performance, which falls under the category of securities investment advisory. My analysis of SpaceX stock trajectory is for reference only. It does not constitute any form of investment advice… But, if you heed my advice, OAY ME BITCH! Just kidding SEC officer, officially this post is for entertainment only — AHEM! Lemme begin…
What I believe based on my mathematical analysis is that the hype surrounding the listing of SpaceX won't be enough to mask the serious fundamental issues, and will lead to a sharp drop within the next 6 months. Here is my analytical data which supports my forecast:
SoaceX IPO Debut & Valuation Reality;
Record Scale: SpaceX's IPO price was $135/share, with a valuation of $1.77T (raised ~$75B). The stock opened at $150 on June 12, 2026….
·
Extreme Valuation: The market cap of ~$2.1T represents a trailing P/S ratio of about 95x. WHOA! Are you freakin’ kidding me? Is everyone on Wall Street doing Ketamine with Elon together? What? Get the hell outtuh here BITCH!
·Analyst Divergence : Screw what I think, right? How bout what others? Morningstar's fair value per share is $63, a 53% discount to the IPO price, while Goldman Sachs focuses on AI growth dreams…
SpaceX Financial Performance & Cash Burn (The "S-1 Horror Show" — My Own TAKE of a Baked Cake…)
WHOA, Massive Losses: The company posted a net loss of $4.94B in 2025, and losses worsened to $4.28B in Q1 2026 (only $4.69B in revenue). Unholly shit here folks, from accounting standpoint this thing is a money furnace!
The Cash Incinerator (xAI/AI): Capital expenditures hit $10.1B in Q1 2026 alone, with $7.7B for AI. xAI generated $63.55B in operating losses in 2025…
Negative Cash Flow: SpaceX's Free Cash Flow (FCF) is deeply negative: -$14B in 2025, after being +$105M in 2023. No way Jose — I say!
SoaceX 5-Year Satellite Obsolescence & Refresh Costs;
Mandatory Refresh: Low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellites have a fundamental 5-year lifespan, forcing SpaceX into a perpetual hardware refresh cycle…
Mass Replacement: Assuming 10,500 operational satellites and a 5-year cycle, annual replacement costs are estimated at $3.78 billion per year (420 launches at $20M/launch).
The "Starship" Wildcard (Space Casino in Texas!): Their new 2-ton V3 satellites absolutely require Starship to launch. However, independent sources indicate each Starship test launch currently costs closer to $100 million, not $1 million. Somebody full of $HIT!
The Downward Pressure: Lock-Up Expirations;
SpaceX has a multi-tiered lock-up expiration schedule:
15% unlocked after Q2 2026 results (likely August 2026).
>>>LOOK HERE DUMBASS; 49% unlocked between specific trading milestones (e.g., 30% above IPO price) and calendar marks through November 2026.
These structured expirations will systematically inject massive supply into the market as early investors take profits, applying downward pressure. DOWNWARD, NOT UPWARD!!!!
Why Stock Will Be Cut in Half (6-Month Price Target);
My Timeline: By December 12, 2026 (six months post-IPO).
Price Target: bout $80.48 per share.
My Key Catalysts: Q2 earnings shock from the disclosed AI losses + lock-up expiration waves.
My TAKE on Downside Potential: 50% decline based on current $161 closing price…
No shit Sherlock, all the $PIN Bankers did to investor excite thrill made SpaceX IPO brake records but this is a BROKEN $OACE COMPANY and the fundamentals indicate a clear downward trajectory… The combination of an x95 sales valuation, an annual cash burn rate exceeding $20 billion, the mandatory 5-year refresh costs for Starlink, and the upcoming lock-up expirations suggests that the current market cap is unsustainable… You got that? UNSUSTAINABLE I said! That stated, SpaceX stock WILL drop by approximately 50% over the next six months to align more closely with fundamentals and DCF valuations…
And no banker can hype it from not happening!
Hey, this is my analysis and no I don’t give a rats ass bout ya’z cause you suck ass at math — and physics probably…
And this will be the LAST POST in regards to Elon or any of his Ventures, cause I got shit to do actually, so good luck to ya’ll regardless on what side you’z on…
What, I hate Elon Musk?!
Only “Nazi Salutes!”
Don’t confuse me with one of his low IQ’d ex-girlfriends EVER AGAIN DUMBASS
That matter RYSTAL-CLEARED… The World gave it all to fight Hitler during WWII, my brave family Members included. We don’t want to allow the evil of Fascism to be resurrected so a high-profile individual who has Worlds undivided attention should know better…
American federal Government Gestapo Agents already favor CHEMICAL WEAPONS to torture UNARMED CIVILIANS WITH, don’t give these FEDERAL STALKER IDIOTS any ideas…
By direct comparison, over 20,000 POLICE Agencies throughout USA with absolutely NO any kind of “UNIFORM TRAINING” and yet, you can count on YOUR FINGERS — of which you should have TEN — those that excessively make use of WEAPONIZED CHEMICALS on peaceful subjects…
At some point, regardless of your wealth or lack thereof — cause it has nothing to do with exhibition of IMMATURE ADULTHOOD, “YOU GOT TO GIT’CHUH HEAD OUTTUH YOUR ASS AND ASK YOURSELF, WHY AM I DOING STUPID SHIT ALL THE TIME?”
Answer?
Cause “YOU’RE A FREAQIN IDIOT!”
As far as Elon Musk company aforementioned in this nano-post of mine; if I TRULLY HATED HIM, I wouldn’t be PUBLICLY REVEALING exact TRAJECTORY of his STOCK, would I?
Cause this gives his team SIX MONTHS to PIVOT and RIGHT their Company by setting it onto trajectory of PROFITABILITY…
How?
“Never put all your “Space Eggs” into one basket…”
“Diversify dummy, DIVERSIFY!”
And the absolute LA$T thing I will comment on is acquisition of wealth, and whether YOU should laser focus on it?
Well, when you DIE you won’t get to take any of it with you cause where you are going you ain’t gonnuh need any so MATHEMATICALLY it is ABSOLUTELY POINTLESS TO $TRIVE to be RICH!
And now since you know that you have FINITE LIFE “TIME,” the KEY to BEING HAPPY is to be CONTENT with what you have! But if you do get rich, don’t set your HEART on it cause wealth can fly away like a Birdie… Way back in ANCIENT TIMES Egyptian Pharaohs ADAMANTLY INSISTED they be BURRIED with their treasures so THIEVES (First instance of Organized Crime by the way — I think…), had the upper hand cause they jus crawled to where the STIFF was buried and all became instant Millionaires at the time which was like IPO today on Wall Street where pigs always get $LAUGHTERED for being gullible $UCKERS, but yeah; that is why you don’t see any U-Haul trucks behind the Hearse when rich folk checkout cause thieves would be diggin second it was six feet unduh! Thieves EVOLVED as well from their Ancient beginnings and since nobody gets buried along with their treasures, they line up like Turkeys on Wall Street to clean you out before, during, and after your death cause all your accumulated wealth — stays behind…
How does the State of California tie into Wall Street “mathematically” and what parallels PARASITIC Wall Street Investment Banking Structure?
Mathematically, the State of California is a “Hybrid Feudal System” and that is why the POOR are DOOMED (Upon Birth…) to be WORKING for the RICH.. As a matter of fact, if YOU look at the racial map of its City of Los Angeles, even if you are the dumbest fuck ever born — will notice that LA has been racially segregated for the most part. Latinos in one area, wealthy in Beverly Hills, other poor blacks and Latinos in South Central, and if you drive through each of those neighborhoods you will notice huge drive and push of residents there into SERVICE CAREERS so plumbers, electricians, cosmetologists, and all others because the System is also engineered to be parasitic by wealthy bloodsucking parasites — on the top who need masses to serve them.. Say hello to your hybrid feudal Lords for whom the goal is to exploit you from your birth to your natural death and congrats on your new job sucker cause now you’ll be in the highest tax bracket!
Hey, ever thought of starting your own business?
IRS REWARD$ You for A$$UMPTION OF RI$K… Thousand mile journey starts with the first step…
Don’t allow Federal G-thugs to “rob you” of EVERYTHING!
https://www.myvideotime.com/video/1180/is-trump-a-thug/
Meanwhile; you follow my advice, you will be happy and that my amigo is “ABSOLUTELY PRICELESS!”
#NumbersNeverLie
Stateless Warrior
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