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Israel and Iran at it Just Like I Predicted!
Duration: 0:28
Views: 3
Submitted: 17 hours ago
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I said that they would and here they are, I wish I was wrong but humans are soo easily predictable that you can predict wars between nations pretty much with your eyes closed — Mathematically… So who would will tactical warfare?
Well, direct tactical conflict between Israel and Iran would be a high-intensity multi-domain engagement focused on air power, missile exchanges (such as here with this footage of Tel Aviv, last night…), cyber warfare, and naval operations—not ground invasions due to geographic distance so I do not thing either side will go that far this time so here I will reveal to you publicly for the first time ever, my actual “quantified analysis” of Israeli and Iranian militaries and their current tactical warfare but I will not be making my highly detailed “Core Capabilities Comparison Chart” public but will LIMIT this post to operational scenarios and likely outcome, so:
What would be the most likely “Key Operational Scenarios & Likely Outcomes?”
It all begins with opening strikes by Israelis upon which Iranians will launch 200+ ballistic missiles + 500+ drones targeting Israeli cities/military bases.
Expected Impact? Iron Dome/Arrow intercepts 85-90% of threats. Limited infrastructure damage; but casualties likely in hundreds.
Israel? Responds with 150+ precision airstrikes (F-35’s) + cruise missiles targeting?
Nuclear facilities AGAIN to PULVERIZE ALL! (Fordow, Natanz)
Missile factories (Khorramshahr)
Command centers (IRGC Quds Force HQ)
Expected Impact? Severe degradation of Iran's strategic assets. I estimate 60-70% target destruction rate….
And Air Superiority Battle?
Israel’s F-35I’s (stealth) evade Iranian air defenses, destroying SAM sites and runways with ease…
My estimated Loss Ratio? I estimate 10:1 ratio (e.g., 10 Iranian jets lost per Israeli jet) and Iran’s air force grounded within 72 hours due to destroyed C2 nodes and runways.
My “Asymmetric Tactics” Predictive Analysis?
Iran?
Proxies (Hezbollah) fire 1,500+ rockets/day from Lebanon to overwhelm Israeli Iron Dome Defense Shield System…
Houthis target Israeli ships in Red Sea.
Cyber attacks on Israeli power grids if Iranian half asses cyber warfare unit has enough IQ to carry it out?
Israel?
Decimates proxy forces with airstrikes….
Cyber counterattacks disrupt Iranian infrastructure (oil, banks).
Any “Escalation Risks?”
No, I don’t see that happening because of “Nuclear Threshold” will NOT be crossed because Israel’s “Samson Option” deters Iranian WMD use during THIS tactical war engagement between two Middle Eastern nations.
What about “Strait of Hormuz?” Iran can block oil shipping → in which case it would likely trigger both U.S./EU intervention…
So would I mind revealing my actual “Quantitative Win Probability Assessment?”
Okay, why not…
Air Dominance?
95% Israel, 5% Iran cause sophisticated American F-35 stealth negates Iranian defenses
Missile Defense?
90% Israel, 30% Iran Because it is basically sophisticated Iron Dome/Arrow vs. outdated Iranian SAM’s…
What About “Target Strike Success?”
80% Israel, 40% Iran because it is basically Israeli precision vs. Iranian accuracy issues…
What about “Cyber Offense?”
85% Israel, 50% Iran because of Israel’s cutting edge Unit 8200’s proven capabilities
What about “Endurance?”
70% Israel vs. 60% Iran but very close on this one because during my analysis it came down to Iran’s larger arsenal vs. Israel’s efficiency, dig?
Who "Wins" in my Estimation WITHOUT ANY GUESSING, all math based:
Short-Term (Days 1-7): Israel decisively wins tactical exchanges.
Iranian nuclear/missile facilities crippled — besides what they hit in their secret bunkers deep underground and their air defenses degraded with their navy neutralized!
My Casualties Ratio Prediction? 1:5 ratio (Israeli:Iranian losses).
How ‘Bout “Long-Term?” (If tactical carries on to Weeks 2-4): Stalemate with Israeli advantage, BECAUSE my analysis indicates the following:
Iran mobilizes proxies → regional chaos….
Global oil prices spike → pressure for ceasefire…..
U.S. intervention likely to secure Israel their ally.
So What is My Net Assessment?
Israel achieves military objectives (degrade Iranian threat) but cannot "occupy" Iran.
Iran inflicts economic/pain costs via proxies but loses strategic assets.
My probability of Israeli victory:?75-80% in tactical warfare.
Critical Vulnerabilities?
Israel’s Weakness? Limited depth (size). Sustained rocket barrages could overwhelm defenses. Roughly size of American government stalker faggot State of New Jersey…
Iran’s Weakness? “Centralized command” so according to my calculations decapitation strikes by Israel could collapse coordination….
Israel’s technological superiority, air dominance, and precision-strike capabilities would prevail in direct tactical combat hands-down, however; Iran’s ability to prolong conflict via proxies, drones, and economic disruption makes a "clean" victory impossible for Israeli’s so the ACTUAL OUTCOME hinges on speed—if Israel destroys core targets rapidly, Iran concedes; if not, a war of attrition favors Iran’s larger population/resources and any and all U.S./NATO involvement would tip scales decisively toward Israel.
Worth a mention that no bombs can destroy Iran's knowhow and expertise and that ultimately Iran will acquire fully functional nukes and Israel is a tiny cockroach by size comparison soon the loooooong run, cockroaches all get squashed especially as American Republicans’s global hold on power is weaning by the HOUR!
Even when radioactive, Jerusalem will always remain to be a tourist hotspot because it is central to World’s leading religions and while Benjamin Netanyahu is attempting to DRAW American Government into ANOTHER Middle Eastern War — regardless
of how the created power vacuum results in removal of centralized Iranian Government and extent to which the aftermath parallels that of Iraq and Libya, what is for certain is that Oil prices will go through the roof and inadvertently maximize Putin’s Oil Revenues so he can finance Ukrainian bombardment as the rising price of oil also adds to GLOBAL INFLATION initiated by Donald Trump's WEAPONIZED tariffs…
But wait, I left the best for last… Would Israel “the tiny” Middle Eastern cockroach by size comparison to all other Middle Eastern nations, benefit from toppling Iranian central government?
In order for that to occur, they would have to eliminate Khameini, all his sons and current top Supreme Leader contenders — and if they did that, and completely bulldozed entire current government top to bottom, chef to cook, and replaced them with a progressive pro Western leader, the little Israeli Cockroach would be securing its future which in the LONG RUN currently is — very bleak — but short term military POWUH creates an illusory point of Vantage.. Unless they gut Iranian g-fags they have no future is what I am saying cause sooner or later, Iran will have FULLY FUNCTIONAL NUKES…
In case you’z as dumb as a pile of freaqin facade bricks:
Iran’s leadership selection reflects its hybrid theocratic-republican system: a veneer of clerical authority overlaid on a security state dominated by their IRGC. So if a “State Actor” were to militarily initiate the next succession by WHACKING the current, they would have to laser-focus on installing a new regime which prioritizes democracy over religious control — otherwise you would end up in the same boat…
With Khamenei's advanced age, a the God of Data Science identify their future Supreme Leader?
Sure, why not…
TOP potential contenders include Ebrahim Raisi, Mojtaba Khamenei, and Alireza Arafi. The WILDCARD though is that IRGC might push for a non-cleric…
So there you have it my little bitches, no rocket science here so as long as you don’t snore during math classes you will be able to predict outcome of any war before it ever happens and will be able to predict the wars before they ever happens, nice huh!
~Stateless Warrior
Well, direct tactical conflict between Israel and Iran would be a high-intensity multi-domain engagement focused on air power, missile exchanges (such as here with this footage of Tel Aviv, last night…), cyber warfare, and naval operations—not ground invasions due to geographic distance so I do not thing either side will go that far this time so here I will reveal to you publicly for the first time ever, my actual “quantified analysis” of Israeli and Iranian militaries and their current tactical warfare but I will not be making my highly detailed “Core Capabilities Comparison Chart” public but will LIMIT this post to operational scenarios and likely outcome, so:
What would be the most likely “Key Operational Scenarios & Likely Outcomes?”
It all begins with opening strikes by Israelis upon which Iranians will launch 200+ ballistic missiles + 500+ drones targeting Israeli cities/military bases.
Expected Impact? Iron Dome/Arrow intercepts 85-90% of threats. Limited infrastructure damage; but casualties likely in hundreds.
Israel? Responds with 150+ precision airstrikes (F-35’s) + cruise missiles targeting?
Nuclear facilities AGAIN to PULVERIZE ALL! (Fordow, Natanz)
Missile factories (Khorramshahr)
Command centers (IRGC Quds Force HQ)
Expected Impact? Severe degradation of Iran's strategic assets. I estimate 60-70% target destruction rate….
And Air Superiority Battle?
Israel’s F-35I’s (stealth) evade Iranian air defenses, destroying SAM sites and runways with ease…
My estimated Loss Ratio? I estimate 10:1 ratio (e.g., 10 Iranian jets lost per Israeli jet) and Iran’s air force grounded within 72 hours due to destroyed C2 nodes and runways.
My “Asymmetric Tactics” Predictive Analysis?
Iran?
Proxies (Hezbollah) fire 1,500+ rockets/day from Lebanon to overwhelm Israeli Iron Dome Defense Shield System…
Houthis target Israeli ships in Red Sea.
Cyber attacks on Israeli power grids if Iranian half asses cyber warfare unit has enough IQ to carry it out?
Israel?
Decimates proxy forces with airstrikes….
Cyber counterattacks disrupt Iranian infrastructure (oil, banks).
Any “Escalation Risks?”
No, I don’t see that happening because of “Nuclear Threshold” will NOT be crossed because Israel’s “Samson Option” deters Iranian WMD use during THIS tactical war engagement between two Middle Eastern nations.
What about “Strait of Hormuz?” Iran can block oil shipping → in which case it would likely trigger both U.S./EU intervention…
So would I mind revealing my actual “Quantitative Win Probability Assessment?”
Okay, why not…
Air Dominance?
95% Israel, 5% Iran cause sophisticated American F-35 stealth negates Iranian defenses
Missile Defense?
90% Israel, 30% Iran Because it is basically sophisticated Iron Dome/Arrow vs. outdated Iranian SAM’s…
What About “Target Strike Success?”
80% Israel, 40% Iran because it is basically Israeli precision vs. Iranian accuracy issues…
What about “Cyber Offense?”
85% Israel, 50% Iran because of Israel’s cutting edge Unit 8200’s proven capabilities
What about “Endurance?”
70% Israel vs. 60% Iran but very close on this one because during my analysis it came down to Iran’s larger arsenal vs. Israel’s efficiency, dig?
Who "Wins" in my Estimation WITHOUT ANY GUESSING, all math based:
Short-Term (Days 1-7): Israel decisively wins tactical exchanges.
Iranian nuclear/missile facilities crippled — besides what they hit in their secret bunkers deep underground and their air defenses degraded with their navy neutralized!
My Casualties Ratio Prediction? 1:5 ratio (Israeli:Iranian losses).
How ‘Bout “Long-Term?” (If tactical carries on to Weeks 2-4): Stalemate with Israeli advantage, BECAUSE my analysis indicates the following:
Iran mobilizes proxies → regional chaos….
Global oil prices spike → pressure for ceasefire…..
U.S. intervention likely to secure Israel their ally.
So What is My Net Assessment?
Israel achieves military objectives (degrade Iranian threat) but cannot "occupy" Iran.
Iran inflicts economic/pain costs via proxies but loses strategic assets.
My probability of Israeli victory:?75-80% in tactical warfare.
Critical Vulnerabilities?
Israel’s Weakness? Limited depth (size). Sustained rocket barrages could overwhelm defenses. Roughly size of American government stalker faggot State of New Jersey…
Iran’s Weakness? “Centralized command” so according to my calculations decapitation strikes by Israel could collapse coordination….
Israel’s technological superiority, air dominance, and precision-strike capabilities would prevail in direct tactical combat hands-down, however; Iran’s ability to prolong conflict via proxies, drones, and economic disruption makes a "clean" victory impossible for Israeli’s so the ACTUAL OUTCOME hinges on speed—if Israel destroys core targets rapidly, Iran concedes; if not, a war of attrition favors Iran’s larger population/resources and any and all U.S./NATO involvement would tip scales decisively toward Israel.
Worth a mention that no bombs can destroy Iran's knowhow and expertise and that ultimately Iran will acquire fully functional nukes and Israel is a tiny cockroach by size comparison soon the loooooong run, cockroaches all get squashed especially as American Republicans’s global hold on power is weaning by the HOUR!
Even when radioactive, Jerusalem will always remain to be a tourist hotspot because it is central to World’s leading religions and while Benjamin Netanyahu is attempting to DRAW American Government into ANOTHER Middle Eastern War — regardless
of how the created power vacuum results in removal of centralized Iranian Government and extent to which the aftermath parallels that of Iraq and Libya, what is for certain is that Oil prices will go through the roof and inadvertently maximize Putin’s Oil Revenues so he can finance Ukrainian bombardment as the rising price of oil also adds to GLOBAL INFLATION initiated by Donald Trump's WEAPONIZED tariffs…
But wait, I left the best for last… Would Israel “the tiny” Middle Eastern cockroach by size comparison to all other Middle Eastern nations, benefit from toppling Iranian central government?
In order for that to occur, they would have to eliminate Khameini, all his sons and current top Supreme Leader contenders — and if they did that, and completely bulldozed entire current government top to bottom, chef to cook, and replaced them with a progressive pro Western leader, the little Israeli Cockroach would be securing its future which in the LONG RUN currently is — very bleak — but short term military POWUH creates an illusory point of Vantage.. Unless they gut Iranian g-fags they have no future is what I am saying cause sooner or later, Iran will have FULLY FUNCTIONAL NUKES…
In case you’z as dumb as a pile of freaqin facade bricks:
Iran’s leadership selection reflects its hybrid theocratic-republican system: a veneer of clerical authority overlaid on a security state dominated by their IRGC. So if a “State Actor” were to militarily initiate the next succession by WHACKING the current, they would have to laser-focus on installing a new regime which prioritizes democracy over religious control — otherwise you would end up in the same boat…
With Khamenei's advanced age, a the God of Data Science identify their future Supreme Leader?
Sure, why not…
TOP potential contenders include Ebrahim Raisi, Mojtaba Khamenei, and Alireza Arafi. The WILDCARD though is that IRGC might push for a non-cleric…
So there you have it my little bitches, no rocket science here so as long as you don’t snore during math classes you will be able to predict outcome of any war before it ever happens and will be able to predict the wars before they ever happens, nice huh!
~Stateless Warrior
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